Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.163983 1.420105 1.750457 2.222124 2.904532 3.903836 5.585553
2025-07-13 0.877323 1.179919 1.636812 2.436118 3.961804 7.255985 17.570552
2025-07-20 0.714112 1.019591 1.530074 2.562279 5.035908 12.978247 80.170962
2025-07-27 0.597744 0.886631 1.402764 2.559022 5.877740 21.638446 1363.641048
2025-08-03 0.509294 0.774702 1.270773 2.465922 6.411476 33.690454 NaN
2025-08-10 0.457194 0.713464 1.215333 2.523214 7.612145 69.944237 NaN
2025-08-17 0.421357 0.673768 1.191005 2.650893 9.478280 229.311477 NaN
2025-08-24 0.384313 0.624708 1.132846 2.650805 10.843452 1063.264052 NaN
2025-08-31 0.348239 0.571865 1.053841 2.547215 11.442812 11619.180912 NaN
2025-09-07 0.329122 0.549923 1.042001 2.668543 14.374081 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.307842 0.520457 1.005316 2.683202 16.673152 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.285921 0.486942 0.952006 2.609273 17.892732 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.267055 0.458392 0.907982 2.562539 19.724957 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.260218 0.454892 0.929383 2.817801 29.854879 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.250446 0.443666 0.927502 2.972241 42.185907 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.237460 0.423741 0.897237 2.967832 50.970168 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.223157 0.399464 0.850497 2.852445 53.588075 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.214524 0.387382 0.837676 2.923345 72.945751 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.208355 0.380360 0.838741 3.081961 119.837073 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.199597 0.366401 0.816155 3.081851 158.886423 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.189281 0.347928 0.776890 2.953097 164.118178 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.184586 0.342515 0.778181 3.103951 330.137091 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.178057 0.332107 0.761780 3.122225 538.468303 NaN NaN